LANCASTER, ROSIE TAGO
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8AS00052- Internal id
1a1dd383-6c0b-4678-9688-2eba412ff669- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $16,315 | $16,417 | $0 | $0 | $250 |
| 2012 | $8,950 | $10,886 | $0 | $0 | $450 |
| 2010 | $3,500 | $7,350 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $7,400 | $9,181 | $0 | $0 | $7,400 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- CITIZENS TO ELECT ROSIE 4 CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- CITIZENS TO ELECT ROSIE 4 CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CITIZENS TO ELECT ROSIE 4 CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CITIZENS TO ELECT ROSIE 4 CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |