KIRKPATRICK, ANN

D · house · bioguide K000368

FEC candidate id: H8AZ01104
Internal id: 318a9a75-9697-4e10-98db-3556915dc6eb
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	826,257
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$67,729
Income	Per-capita income	$34,854
Income	In poverty	16.6%
Income	Unemployed	6.3%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.458
Race	White alone	58.5%
Race	Black alone	2.4%
Race	Asian alone	1.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	18.2%
Race	Two or more races	12.4%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	78.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.8%
Education	High school or higher	53.4%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	26.2%
Education	Advanced degree	10.2%
Household	Family households	64.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.49
Household	Never married (15+)	33.2%
Housing	Median home value	$345,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,254
Housing	Single-family detached	70.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.2%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	5.1%
Housing	Vacant units	18.8%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.9%
Health	With a disability	16.7%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	85.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	11.3%
Commute	Drove alone	69.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$1,898,759	$1,433,662	$537,288	$0	$1,182,657
2018	$4,591,985	$4,519,793	$72,191	$24,100	$3,023,544
2016	$423,179	$510,798	$0	$0	$204,960
2014	$3,420,446	$3,340,585	$87,619	$0	$2,279,416
2012	$2,363,587	$2,369,726	$7,758	$2,485	$1,744,948
2010	$1,992,860	$1,998,802	$13,897	$0	$1,071,360
2008	$2,016,932	$1,997,093	$19,839	$57,965	$1,370,770

Elections

2008 general house · AZ-2 — running
2008 general house · AZ-1 — won
2010 general house · AZ-1 — won
2010 general house · AZ-2 — running
2012 general house · AZ-2 — running
2012 general house · AZ-1 — won
2014 general house · AZ-1 — won
2014 general house · AZ-2 — running
2016 general house · AZ-1 — won
2016 general house · AZ-2 — running
2018 general house · AZ-2 — won
2020 general house · AZ-2 — won
2022 general house · AZ-2 — lost_general

Committees

AZ01 VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
COPPER STATE MAJORITY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
INDEPENDENT VOICES FOR ARIZONA — joint_fundraising · type N
JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
KIRKPATRICK FOR ARIZONA — principal · type H
KIRKPATRICK GALLEGO VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type H
KIRKPATRICK/LORD VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type H
MOMS FED UP — independent · type Q
MOMS FED UP — principal · type Q
WESTERN WOMEN WIN — joint_fundraising · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-05-19	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24E	$8

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee MOMS FED UP.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
MCMILLAN, DIANE	—	GRAND RAPIDS, MI	205	$2,383
BOYNTON, ELIZABETH	—	SCARBOROUGH, ME	172	$2,286
GOLDSMITH, ELLEN	—	BOCA RATON, FL	107	$1,665
BOX, T.	—	ANCHORAGE, AK	1	$900
LOWDER, KAREN	—	GREENSBORO, NC	114	$568
HARCOURT, JONI	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	ROSEVILLE, CA	14	$373
WHITE, NANCY	WHITE MANAGEMENT, INC. · BUSINESS OWNER	CHARDON, OH	13	$342
CASADY, WANDA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PHOENIX, AZ	1	$250
SACABO, JOSEPHINE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NEW ORLEANS, LA	1	$250
NORMAN, DAVE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PORT HUENEME, CA	8	$195
MADDREN, SHIRLEE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	NORWALK, CT	4	$177
AUGUSTINE, TED	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WALNUT CREEK, CA	17	$172
PERETZ, ANNE L.	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CAMBRIDGE, MA	2	$150
SHANKLIN, JAN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BONITA SPRINGS, FL	2	$150
YARNALL, MIRA NAKASHIMA	NAKASHIMA WOODWORKERS · DESIGNER	NEW HOPE, PA	13	$135
MARTINEZ, ADRIA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	WOODLAND, WA	3	$120
GOOSE, LAURIE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DIAMOND BAR, CA	4	$110
MCDONALD, ANN	FRIENDSHIP HOUSE · PSYCHIATRIST	SWIFTWATER, PA	2	$105
ROCKEL, RANDALL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SARASOTA, FL	3	$105
DRIEHAUS, ELIZABETH	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BROOKLINE, MA	1	$93
EDWARDS, LYNDA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PALM DESERT, CA	3	$90
REYNOLDS, RUTH	NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED	ELK GROVE, CA	4	$90
BROWN, THOMAS A	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN DIEGO, CA	6	$89
KENNEDY, ANDREW	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BONSALL, CA	3	$85
BENEROFE, JAMES	SUBURBAN STREET NEWS, INC. · REAL ESTATE EXEC.	WHITE PLAINS, NY	3	$85

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-05-19	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$8		pas2

Outbound (10)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	MOMS FED UP	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	AZ01 VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	KIRKPATRICK GALLEGO VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	KIRKPATRICK/LORD VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	COPPER STATE MAJORITY FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	INDEPENDENT VOICES FOR ARIZONA	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	WESTERN WOMEN WIN	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MOMS FED UP	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KIRKPATRICK FOR ARIZONA	—	candidate_committees

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