MATSUI, ROBERT
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8CA03014- Internal id
929c388f-a0bb-4e15-8448-9c799d42fb37- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,813 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $92,960 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,474 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 63.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 27.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 31.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 69.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.64 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $491,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,698 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.8% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2006 | $19,188 | $116,308 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2004 | $1,187,786 | $1,145,933 | $97,120 | $4,512 | $278,042 |
| 2002 | $717,567 | $867,356 | $56,317 | $0 | $199,871 |
| 2000 | $744,829 | $770,062 | $206,105 | $10,055 | $196,596 |
| 1998 | $674,038 | $587,811 | $231,339 | $4,483 | $159,216 |
| 1996 | $663,586 | $814,857 | $145,113 | $11,145 | $210,261 |
| 1994 | $841,836 | $929,976 | $296,383 | $17,413 | $234,245 |
| 1992 | $656,875 | $1,421,123 | $384,523 | $741 | $178,035 |
| 1990 | $1,212,175 | $718,201 | $1,148,773 | $32,895 | $486,852 |
| 1988 | $917,025 | $638,688 | $654,798 | $0 | $348,347 |
| 1986 | $661,793 | $563,150 | $376,464 | $0 | $0 |
| 1984 | $347,960 | $233,758 | $277,820 | $0 | $127,621 |
| 1982 | $267,641 | $140,652 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1980 | $248,380 | $211,981 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 1980 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1982 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1984 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1986 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1988 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1990 general house Β· CA-3 β won
- 1992 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 1994 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 1996 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 1998 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 2000 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 2002 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 2004 general house Β· CA-5 β won
- 2006 general house Β· CA-5 β won
Committees
- BOB MATSUI FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- SACRAMENTO VICTORY 2004 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- TEEN ADVOCATES FOR THE ELDERLY β independent Β· type U
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | TEEN ADVOCATES FOR THE ELDERLY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SACRAMENTO VICTORY 2004 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB MATSUI FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |