CAMPBELL, THOMAS J

R · house · bioguide C000100

FEC candidate id: H8CA12080
Internal id: 429dd805-7406-48c3-8e41-a83a9f15d074
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-15. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	738,509
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$149,727
Income	Per-capita income	$74,964
Income	In poverty	7.3%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.486
Race	White alone	30.6%
Race	Black alone	2.6%
Race	Asian alone	37.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	25.9%
Race	Two or more races	13.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	39.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	48.1%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	18.9%
Education	High school or higher	65.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	49.1%
Education	Advanced degree	20.2%
Household	Family households	68.4%
Household	Avg household size	2.85
Household	Never married (15+)	35.4%
Housing	Median home value	$1,414,500
Housing	Median gross rent	$2,849
Housing	Single-family detached	51.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	11.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	8.9%
Housing	Vacant units	7.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	2.7%
Health	With a disability	9.8%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	95.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	3.3%
Commute	Drove alone	55.1%
Commute	Public transit	7.8%
Commute	Worked from home	22.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2000	$832,552	$1,315,273	$0	$0	$819,707
1998	$922,227	$791,634	$482,721	$0	$971,601
1996	$2,529,996	$2,177,865	$352,128	$60,000	$1,843,948
1992	$52,821	$686,019	$0	$0	$10,074
1990	$1,286,200	$658,135	$633,197	$362	$992,893
1988	$1,445,770	$1,440,639	$5,132	$101,059	$1,176,961

Elections

1988 general house · CA-12 — won
1990 general house · CA-12 — won
1992 general house · CA-12 — won
1996 general house · CA-15 — won
1998 general house · CA-15 — won
2000 general house · CA-15 — won

Committees

TOM CAMPBELL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (17)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	educated_at	Harvard Law School	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	St. Ignatius College Prep	—	wikidata
—	employed_by	University of California, Berkeley	—	wikidata
—	employed_by	Chapman University School of Law	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	St. Ignatius College Preparatory	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	University of Chicago	—	wikidata
—	educated_at	University of Chicago	—	wikidata
—	principal_candidate_of	TOM CAMPBELL FOR CONGRESS	—	candidate_committees
1999-01-06	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
1997-01-07	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
1995-12-12	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
1993-01-03	held_position	member of the State Senate of California	—	wikidata
1991-01-03	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
1989-01-03	held_position	United States representative	—	wikidata
1983-01-01	employed_by	Stanford Law School	—	wikidata
1981-01-01	held_position	director	—	wikidata
1959-01-01	educated_at	Sacred Heart Schools	—	wikidata

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