COX, STEVE
I Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8CA39190- Internal id
8f41fcc1-8091-42c6-8910-07ca3f383984- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-39. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 765,795 |
| People | Median age | 33 |
| Income | Median household income | $91,833 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,635 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.405 |
| Race | White alone | 25.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 8.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 63.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 47.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 45.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 50.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 20.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 7.3% |
| Household | Family households | 79.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.57 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 42.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $543,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,943 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 12.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $6,126 | $6,063 | $17 | $0 | $4,837 |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· CA-39 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· CA-39 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-39 β lost_general
Committees
- STEVE COX FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- STEVE COX FOR CONGRESS 2022 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEVE COX FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | STEVE COX FOR CONGRESS 2022 | β | candidate_committees |