ROUDA, HARLEY E JR
D Β· house Β· bioguide R000616
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- FEC candidate id
H8CA48035- Internal id
ce8259a0-3146-4941-97db-9073767f3920- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-47. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,999 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $127,854 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $70,414 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.478 |
| Race | White alone | 52.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 24.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 17.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 14.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 63.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 10.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 24.0% |
| Household | Family households | 61.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.48 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,190,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,811 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 42.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 8.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 62.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.9% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 25.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,281,255 | $1,306,613 | $0 | $0 | $262,003 |
| 2022 | $1,240,826 | $1,285,548 | $25,358 | $0 | $1,065,419 |
| 2020 | $6,259,590 | $6,465,174 | $70,080 | $0 | $4,495,490 |
| 2018 | $8,749,390 | $8,473,726 | $275,664 | $94,646 | $5,942,201 |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· CA-48 β won
- 2020 general house Β· CA-48 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· CA-48 β lost_general
- 2024 general house Β· CA-47 β lost_general
Committees
- HARLEY ROUDA FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (67)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-06-07 | WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC) | contributed_to | $-4,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $2,853 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-31 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-2,853 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-22 | SCHIFF FOR SENATE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-01 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-14 | NANCY PELOSI FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-14 | PAC TO THE FUTURE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-17 | THE US CAMPAIGN FUND | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-10 | TRANSCANADA USA SERVICES, INC. PAC (TC PAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-21 | WOMEN FOR AMERICAN VALUES AND ETHICS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (A/K/A WAVE PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-08 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-07 | MAC PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-06 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-01 | REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC | contributed_to | $1,001 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-30 | SMART TD PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-29 | ADVANCING DEMOCRACY AND MOBILIZATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-29 | TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-29 | ONE VOICE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-28 | BADGERPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-28 | INT'L UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTWORKERS | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-27 | KUSTER FOR CONGRESS, INC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-21 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-09-13 | REMEDY PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-07-15 | SIDLEY AUSTIN LLP GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | COMMON GOOD FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-30 | MAC PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-29 | SUNSHINE ORGANIZATION FOR TREMENDOUS OPPORTUNITIES PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-28 | SHORE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-28 | EDPAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-28 | ONE VOICE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-21 | SERVICE FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-02 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-19 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-05-17 | WIN BACK PAC | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-31 | FRIENDS OF RAJA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,001 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-31 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-26 | DEMOCRATS RESHAPING AMERICA (DREAMPAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-25 | PAUL TONKO FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-24 | DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-24 | INT'L UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTWORKERS | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-15 | KUSTER FOR CONGRESS, INC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-06 | FRIENDS OF DON BEYER | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-03 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LOCAL NO. 12 FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-22 | WIN BACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-215 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $215 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $19 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $114 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $234 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-19 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-114 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-19 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-234 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-12 | SEA CHANGE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-10 | NANCY PELOSI FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-10 | NANCY PELOSI FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-10 | PAC TO THE FUTURE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-10 | PAC TO THE FUTURE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-02-08 | VARGAS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-26 | NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF CONVENIENCE STORES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $136 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $29 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-516 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $516 | pas2 | |
| 2021-01-25 | ORANGE COUNTY PAC | contributed_to | $-136 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | HARLEY ROUDA FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |