JONES, BRIAN W
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8CA52037- Internal id
32c06651-9b88-495e-b738-bd09f7f0e27d- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-50. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 754,032 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $120,202 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $69,791 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.476 |
| Race | White alone | 58.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 14.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 22.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 21.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 14.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 71.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 60.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 26.8% |
| Household | Family households | 54.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.32 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,080,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,386 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 40.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 2.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 59.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 25.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $862 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $862 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $247,832 | $246,970 | $862 | $0 | $225,714 |
| 2010 | $15,050 | $15,675 | $0 | $0 | $15,050 |
| 2008 | $221,144 | $220,519 | $625 | $12,500 | $205,337 |
Elections
Committees
- BRIAN JONES FOR CONGRESS 2020 β principal Β· type H
- BRIAN W JONES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRIAN W JONES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BRIAN JONES FOR CONGRESS 2020 | β | candidate_committees |