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MURPHY, LEE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H8DE01044
Internal id
509a18cd-860c-43f3-beeb-a4f47abe0828
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$349,933$355,132$-5,148$0$337,808
2020$131,394$131,862$247$0$110,255
2018$20,639$25,592$2,178$0$19,439

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$164,327$04

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2022-11-04FIRST FOR AMERICAsupport$16,000text messages
2022-11-01FIRST FOR AMERICAsupport$85,300TV Advertising
2022-10-25FIRST FOR AMERICAsupport$31,513mail
2022-10-19FIRST FOR AMERICAsupport$31,513Direct Mail

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-12-30FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$2,250
2022-11-30WINRED24K$-100
2022-11-30FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$5,562
2022-11-25WINRED24K$-100
2022-11-16FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$35,000
2022-11-07FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$5,750
2022-11-04FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$16,000
2022-11-01FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$85,300
2022-10-26HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA24K$5,000
2022-10-25FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$31,513
2022-10-19FIRST FOR AMERICA24E$31,513
2022-10-05WINRED24K$-100
2022-09-29DOSE OF REALITY, OPTIMISM AND ZEAL PAC (DR OZ …24K$2,900
2022-08-24CASTLEPAC LLC24K$100
2022-06-26WINRED24K$-75
2022-06-05WINRED24K$-210
2022-05-16CASTLEPAC LLC24K$500
2022-03-16WINRED24K$-5
2022-03-16WINRED24K$-5
2021-11-22WINRED24K$-25
2021-11-22WINRED24K$-50
2021-05-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$8

Connected on the graph

Inbound (39)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-12-30FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$2,25024Efec_pas2
2022-12-30FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$2,250pas2
2022-11-30FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,56224Efec_pas2
2022-11-30FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$5,562pas2
2022-11-30WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-25WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-11-16FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$35,00024Efec_pas2
2022-11-16FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$35,000pas2
2022-11-07FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,75024Efec_pas2
2022-11-07FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$5,750pas2
2022-11-04FIRST FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$16,000fec_ies
2022-11-04FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$16,00024Efec_pas2
2022-11-04FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$16,000pas2
2022-11-01FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$85,30024Efec_pas2
2022-11-01FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$85,300pas2
2022-11-01FIRST FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$85,300fec_ies
2022-10-26HUCK PAC FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-10-26HUCK PAC FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$5,00024Kfec_pas2
2022-10-25FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$31,513pas2
2022-10-25FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$31,51324Efec_pas2
2022-10-25FIRST FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$31,513fec_ies
2022-10-19FIRST FOR AMERICAsupports_independently$31,513fec_ies
2022-10-19FIRST FOR AMERICAcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$31,51324Efec_pas2
2022-10-19FIRST FOR AMERICAcontributed_to$31,513pas2
2022-10-05WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-09-29DOSE OF REALITY, OPTIMISM AND ZEAL PAC (DR OZ PAC)contributed_to$2,900pas2
2022-09-29DOSE OF REALITY, OPTIMISM AND ZEAL PAC (DR OZ PAC)committee_contributed_to_candidate$2,90024Kfec_pas2
2022-08-24CASTLEPAC LLCcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$10024Kfec_pas2
2022-08-24CASTLEPAC LLCcontributed_to$100pas2
2022-06-26WINREDcontributed_to$-75pas2
2022-06-05WINREDcontributed_to$-210pas2
2022-05-16CASTLEPAC LLCcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-05-16CASTLEPAC LLCcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$50024Kfec_pas2
2022-03-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2022-03-16WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-11-22WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-05-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$8pas2
2021-05-19PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScommittee_contributed_to_candidate$824Afec_pas2

Outbound (4)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofGOMURPH.COMβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofLEE MURPHY 2018β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofLEE MURPHY FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofGOMURPH.COMβ€”candidate_committees

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