SAN NICOLAS, MICHAEL F.Q. MR.
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8GU01020- Internal id
15fccc16-cb33-4fec-8dfd-31bd5e9f682e- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $141 | $146 | $30,087 | $0 |
| 2024 | $24,442 | $39,766 | $287 | $30,087 | $24,442 |
| 2022 | $14,525 | $19,778 | $15,611 | $14,304 | $11,550 |
| 2020 | $94,956 | $95,136 | $20,864 | $27,650 | $68,956 |
| 2018 | $114,530 | $93,486 | $21,044 | $33,305 | $111,030 |
Elections
No elections on file.
Committees
- MICHAEL SAN NICOLAS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL SAN NICOLAS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |