WILLIAMS, EDWIN GEX III
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8KY04052- Internal id
0969b3b8-e336-4d76-ac6a-6c02148c36f8- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), KY-04. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 762,319 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $80,457 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,905 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 87.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $246,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,048 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $6 | $6 | $10,000 | $6 |
| 2002 | $0 | $21 | $13 | $10,000 | $0 |
| 2000 | $626 | $8,432 | $35 | $10,000 | $60 |
| 1998 | $882,542 | $874,701 | $7,842 | $17,601 | $582,031 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· KY-4 β lost_general
Committees
- A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO WANT GEX "JAY" WILLIAMS IN CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | A LOT OF PEOPLE WHO WANT GEX "JAY" WILLIAMS IN CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |