WATERS, MARY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8MI13185- Internal id
43f99fb6-d885-48c5-8a04-2ea17288ae03
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 770,105 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $50,833 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $30,834 |
| Income | In poverty | 25.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 10.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.507 |
| Race | White alone | 38.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 44.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 10.5% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 22.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.8% |
| Household | Family households | 55.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.45 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 47.6% |
| Housing | Median home value | $139,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,061 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 15.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 17.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $1,127 | $466 | $13,139 | $0 |
| 2024 | $194,060 | $192,467 | $1,593 | $13,444 | $183,200 |
| 2010 | $0 | $200 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2008 | $37,648 | $39,066 | $200 | $22,883 | $14,765 |
Elections
- 2008 general house Β· MI-13 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· MI-14 β lost_general
- 2012 general house Β· MI-13 β running
- 2024 general house Β· MI-13 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MI-13 β running
Committees
- MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $2,268,732 | 11 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $675,901 | Media Placement |
| 2024-07-30 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $31,303 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-29 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $31,303 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-29 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $10,585 | Direct mail |
| 2024-07-26 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $9,960 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-26 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $31,342 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-24 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $10,631 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-23 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $703,372 | Media Placement |
| 2024-07-23 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $31,401 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-19 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $33,553 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-07-18 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | oppose | $699,380 | Media Production/Placement |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (11)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-30 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $675,901 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-30 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $31,303 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $31,303 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-29 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $10,585 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-26 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $9,960 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-26 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $31,342 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-24 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $10,631 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $703,372 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-23 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $31,401 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-19 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $33,553 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-18 | BLUE WAVE ACTION D/B/A BWA | opposes_independently | $699,380 | fec_ies |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MARY WATERS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |