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BAKER, JUDITH W

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H8MO09088
Internal id
b7089a83-0754-4e85-a86b-d5c5a57fe890
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2008$1,702,217$1,669,075$33,142$0$1,142,737

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofTIGER PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofMISSOURI WOMEN 2008β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofTIGER PACβ€”candidate_committees

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