ARMSTRONG, KELLY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H8ND00096
Internal id: 414ff98e-aa21-4efe-bf44-92a4351e99ce
Status: incumbent

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$893,118	$1,170,382	$0	$0	$248,994
2022	$2,168,973	$2,197,417	$277,264	$200,000	$757,822
2020	$1,273,005	$1,083,764	$305,708	$250,000	$441,057
2018	$1,769,589	$1,653,122	$116,467	$250,000	$984,322

Elections

No elections on file.

Committees

ARMSTRONG FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$-2,500
2022-12-31	ORACLE AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE…	24K	$140
2022-12-22	AMERICAN HOTEL AND LODGING ASSOCIATION POLITICA…	24K	$2,000
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	24K	$500
2022-11-08	COALPAC, A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NA…	24K	$-1,000
2022-11-08	COALPAC, A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NA…	24K	$1,000
2022-11-07	PITNEY BOWES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-04	US ENERGY PAC (THE PAC OF AMERICAN EXPLORATION …	24K	$2,000
2022-11-03	GROWING OUR OWN DYNAMIC ECONOMY NOW	24K	$5,000
2022-11-02	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	24K	$2,500
2022-11-02	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP IN ELECTIONS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,500
2022-11-01	CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	JOBS, ENERGY AND OUR FOUNDING FATHERS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-31	AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$2,000
2022-10-31	TARGA RESOURCES CORP. FEDERAL PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-10-28	BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$4,000
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	24F	$600
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	24F	$3,407
2022-10-27	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION C…	24K	$2,500
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	OTTER TAIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	PRIMACY PAC DC	24K	$2,500
2022-10-21	VISA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2022-12-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-12-31	ORACLE AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ORACLE PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$140	24K	fec_pas2
2022-12-31	ORACLE AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ORACLE PAC)	contributed_to	$140		pas2
2022-12-22	AMERICAN HOTEL AND LODGING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('HOTELPAC')	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-12-22	AMERICAN HOTEL AND LODGING ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE ('HOTELPAC')	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2022-12-19	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-08	COALPAC, A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL MINING ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-11-08	COALPAC, A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL MINING ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-11-08	COALPAC, A POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL MINING ASSOCIATION	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-07	PITNEY BOWES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-11-07	PITNEY BOWES INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-04	US ENERGY PAC (THE PAC OF AMERICAN EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COUNCIL, INC.)	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-11-04	US ENERGY PAC (THE PAC OF AMERICAN EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COUNCIL, INC.)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	GROWING OUR OWN DYNAMIC ECONOMY NOW	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-03	GROWING OUR OWN DYNAMIC ECONOMY NOW	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-11-02	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP IN ELECTIONS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-02	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-02	CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP IN ELECTIONS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-11-02	MCKESSON CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	JOBS, ENERGY AND OUR FOUNDING FATHERS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-11-01	NEXTERA ENERGY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-11-01	JOBS, ENERGY AND OUR FOUNDING FATHERS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-11-01	CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-11-01	CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	TARGA RESOURCES CORP. FEDERAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-10-31	TARGA RESOURCES CORP. FEDERAL PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-10-31	AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-28	BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$4,000		pas2
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$3,407		pas2
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	contributed_to	$600		pas2
2022-10-28	BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,407	24F	fec_pas2
2022-10-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$600	24F	fec_pas2
2022-10-27	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (VERIZON PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-27	VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (VERIZON PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-24	PRIMACY PAC DC	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-24	PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA - PRUDENTIAL FEDERAL PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-24	PRIMACY PAC DC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-24	PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL INC. FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA - PRUDENTIAL FEDERAL PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-24	OTTER TAIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-24	OTTER TAIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-21	VISA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-21	VISA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-21	ASSOCIATED GENERAL CONTRACTORS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-21	ASSOCIATED GENERAL CONTRACTORS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-19	HF SINCLAIR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DINO PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL RURAL LETTER CARRIERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL RURAL LETTER CARRIERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-19	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-10-19	MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-19	HF SINCLAIR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DINO PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-10-18	UNITED STATES BEET SUGAR ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-18	AMERICAN CHIROPRACTIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-18	UNITED STATES BEET SUGAR ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-18	AMERICAN CHIROPRACTIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-17	PG&E CORPORATION EMPLOYEES ENERGYPAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-17	APACHE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-17	PG&E CORPORATION EMPLOYEES ENERGYPAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-17	APACHE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-14	CRESTWOOD CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE CRESTWOOD PAC	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-14	CRESTWOOD CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE CRESTWOOD PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-13	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-13	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-10-13	DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DEC PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-10-13	DEVON ENERGY CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DEC PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-10	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-10	LOCKHEED MARTIN CORPORATION EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-09	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-10-09	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-06	NATIONAL MULTIFAMILY HOUSING COUNCIL AND REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY AND TRANSFORMATION CENTER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NMHC PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-06	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF ORTHODONTISTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-10-06	NATIONAL MULTIFAMILY HOUSING COUNCIL AND REAL ESTATE TECHNOLOGY AND TRANSFORMATION CENTER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NMHC PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-06	AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF ORTHODONTISTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-05	ENERGY MARKETERS OF AMERICA SMALL BUSINESS COMMITTEE PAC (EMA SBC PAC)	contributed_to	$1,500		pas2
2022-10-05	SEMPRA ENERGY EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE- FEDERAL	contributed_to	$4,000		pas2
2022-10-05	ENERGY MARKETERS OF AMERICA SMALL BUSINESS COMMITTEE PAC (EMA SBC PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-05	SEMPRA ENERGY EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE- FEDERAL	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-04	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-04	SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-03	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-10-03	EXXON MOBIL CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (EXXONMOBIL PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-30	SCHWAN'S COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-30	YAHOO INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (YAHOO INC. PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-09-30	SCHWAN'S COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-09-30	YAHOO INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (YAHOO INC. PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	AMERICAN CLEAN POWER ASSOCIATION CLEANPOWER PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (API PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-09-29	TWDC ENTERPRISES 18 CORP. EMPLOYEES PAC AKA 'THE WALT DISNEY COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC' OR 'DISNEY PAC'	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MPAC)	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-09-29	AMERICAN PETROLEUM INSTITUTE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (API PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-09-29	AMERICAN CLEAN POWER ASSOCIATION CLEANPOWER PAC	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-09-29	MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-09-29	AMERICAN SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SOYPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ARMSTRONG FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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