KEEFE, JOSEPH F
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NH01053- Internal id
38036f8c-61a2-422e-8bd5-1f015941b13d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 698,446 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $100,838 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $53,653 |
| Income | In poverty | 7.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 87.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 41.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.5% |
| Household | Family households | 63.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $429,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,563 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | $69 | $1,150 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1998 | $8,789 | $13,600 | $1,080 | $0 | $1,015 |
| 1996 | $586,642 | $580,749 | $6,098 | $19,633 | $350,504 |
| 1992 | $18,611 | $19,329 | $780 | $19,733 | $0 |
| 1990 | $387,937 | $387,293 | $1,498 | $39,058 | $180,116 |
| 1988 | $267,618 | $266,617 | $1,101 | $27,092 | $162,868 |
Elections
- 1988 general house Β· NH-1 β running
- 1990 general house Β· NH-1 β lost_general
- 1996 general house Β· NH-1 β lost_general
Committees
- KEEFE FOR CONGRESS 1996 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | KEEFE FOR CONGRESS 1996 | β | candidate_committees |