BURNS, ROBERT ANDREW

R · house

FEC candidate id: H8NH02309
Internal id: b98c15f7-a4d6-4d6a-828b-cd286161f62b
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NH-02. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	696,422
People	Median age	44
Income	Median household income	$97,382
Income	Per-capita income	$51,941
Income	In poverty	7.5%
Income	Unemployed	3.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.450
Race	White alone	88.1%
Race	Black alone	1.4%
Race	Asian alone	2.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	4.5%
Race	Two or more races	6.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	92.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	2.5%
Education	High school or higher	67.9%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.8%
Education	Advanced degree	16.8%
Household	Family households	65.1%
Household	Avg household size	2.45
Household	Never married (15+)	30.0%
Housing	Median home value	$376,200
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,415
Housing	Single-family detached	66.0%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.5%
Housing	Vacant units	14.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.8%
Health	With a disability	13.5%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.5%
Commute	Drove alone	72.2%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	16.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$0	$73	$0	$0	$0
2018	$43,187	$43,114	$73	$12,000	$6,187

Elections

2018 general house · NH-2 — lost_general

Committees

BURNS FOR NH — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$0	$588	1
2022	$150,000	$588	2

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	oppose	$588	Estimated Cost for Staff Time for Voter Communications
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	oppose	$588	Estimated Cost for Staff Time for Voter Communications
2022-10-05	THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	support	$150,000	Canvassing

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$587
2022-11-07	HMP	24A	$9,775
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$1,073,445
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-10-24	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	24A	$50,000
2022-10-24	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	24E	$3,115
2022-10-18	GOA VICTORY FUND	24E	$12,500
2022-10-05	THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	24E	$150,000
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$494
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$4,450
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$444,125
2022-09-06	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	24A	$24,000
2022-09-02	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	24A	$41,000
2022-09-01	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$12,438
2022-08-29	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$12,412
2022-08-26	DEMOCRATS SERVE	24A	$87,899

Connected on the graph

Inbound (35)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$587	24A	fec_pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$587		pas2
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	opposes_independently	$588		fec_ies
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	opposes_independently	$588		fec_ies
2022-11-07	HMP	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$9,775	24A	fec_pas2
2022-11-07	HMP	contributed_to	$9,775		pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$1,073,445		pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,073,445	24A	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-31	NATIONAL CONSERVATIVE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000		pas2
2022-10-24	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,115	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-24	CENTER FORWARD	contributed_to	$50,000		pas2
2022-10-24	NATIONAL RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$3,115		pas2
2022-10-24	CENTER FORWARD	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$50,000	24A	fec_pas2
2022-10-18	GOA VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$12,500		pas2
2022-10-18	GOA VICTORY FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12,500	24E	fec_pas2
2022-10-05	THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	supports_independently	$150,000		fec_ies
2022-10-05	THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$150,000		pas2
2022-10-05	THE SENTINEL ACTION FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$150,000	24E	fec_pas2
2022-09-06	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$24,000	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$444,125	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-06	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$24,000		pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$4,450		pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$494		pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$444,125		pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$494	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-06	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4,450	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-02	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$41,000	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-02	AMERICAN LIBERTY ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$41,000		pas2
2022-09-01	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12,438	24A	fec_pas2
2022-09-01	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$12,438		pas2
2022-08-29	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$12,412	24A	fec_pas2
2022-08-29	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$12,412		pas2
2022-08-26	DEMOCRATS SERVE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$87,899	24A	fec_pas2
2022-08-26	DEMOCRATS SERVE	contributed_to	$87,899		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	BURNS FOR NH	—		candidate_committees

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