FERGUSON, MIKE
R Β· house Β· bioguide F000443
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- FEC candidate id
H8NJ06118- Internal id
ebf307a7-4b78-4660-aa3a-beb2df7a0233- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NJ-07. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 783,203 |
| People | Median age | 44 |
| Income | Median household income | $136,541 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $71,321 |
| Income | In poverty | 4.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 71.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 8.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 13.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 75.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 23.0% |
| Household | Family households | 71.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.59 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $530,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,802 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 3.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 20.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $1,130,408 | $1,088,832 | $113,447 | $0 | $627,147 |
| 2006 | $2,932,482 | $3,043,596 | $71,870 | $240,000 | $1,644,751 |
| 2004 | $2,954,867 | $2,847,828 | $182,984 | $420,000 | $1,407,915 |
| 2002 | $2,204,821 | $2,261,218 | $75,946 | $289,541 | $1,257,138 |
| 2000 | $2,417,026 | $2,416,477 | $25,993 | $289,541 | $1,439,706 |
| 1998 | $1,095,049 | $1,069,603 | $25,443 | $76,867 | $728,510 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· NJ-6 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NJ-7 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NJ-7 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NJ-7 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NJ-7 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NJ-7 β lost_general
Committees
- 2008 HOUSE-RNC VICTORY COMMITTEE; THE β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
- BETTER GOVERNMENT 2002 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- FERGUSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- FERGUSON-FORRESTER 2002 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- MIKE FERGUSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- MIKE PAC β independent Β· type Q
- MIKE PAC β principal Β· type Q
- NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (8)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | MIKE PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2008 HOUSE-RNC VICTORY COMMITTEE; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BETTER GOVERNMENT 2002 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FERGUSON-FORRESTER 2002 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE FERGUSON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FERGUSON FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |