PATEL, SURAJ
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY12129- Internal id
2dddbd24-429c-4a36-83e4-de7e8644046b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 719,940 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $147,775 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $133,258 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.555 |
| Race | White alone | 67.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 13.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 25.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 72.1% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 86.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 80.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 42.1% |
| Household | Family households | 37.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 1.81 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $1,184,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,960 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 1.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 19.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 4.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 37.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 29.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $29,500 | $29,812 | $0 | $0 | $7,500 |
| 2022 | $1,763,760 | $1,765,599 | $312 | $487,500 | $1,431,460 |
| 2020 | $1,261,621 | $1,259,469 | $2,151 | $175,000 | $1,076,779 |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· NY-12 β lost_general
- 2020 general house Β· NY-12 β lost_general
- 2022 general house Β· NY-12 β lost_general
Committees
- NEW ELECTORATE β independent Β· type N
- SURAJ PATEL 2022 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $172,338 | $0 | 3 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-19 | THE IMPACT FUND | support | $75,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-08-17 | THE IMPACT FUND | support | $48,669 | Direct Mail - Upgrade |
| 2022-08-15 | THE IMPACT FUND | support | $48,669 | Direct Mail - A New Route |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-19 | THE IMPACT FUND | 24E | $75,000 |
| 2022-08-17 | THE IMPACT FUND | 24E | $48,669 |
| 2022-08-15 | THE IMPACT FUND | 24E | $48,669 |
| 2022-02-17 | INDIAN AMERICAN IMPACT FUND | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (7)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-19 | IMPACT | contributed_to | $75,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | IMPACT | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-17 | IMPACT | contributed_to | $48,669 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-17 | IMPACT | supports_independently | $48,669 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-15 | IMPACT | supports_independently | $48,669 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-08-15 | IMPACT | contributed_to | $48,669 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-17 | INDIAN AMERICAN IMPACT FUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | NEW ELECTORATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | SURAJ PATEL 2022 | β | candidate_committees |