REYNOLDS, THOMAS M
R Β· house Β· bioguide R000569
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY27077- Internal id
a7e051f2-1218-4c3b-81df-cfedcd8024d9- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-26. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,895 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,395 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,777 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 67.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.9% |
| Household | Family households | 54.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $208,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,063 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $1,115 | $126,393 | $357,664 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $1,529 | $27,357 | $482,942 | $0 | $0 |
| 2014 | $1,433 | $29,365 | $508,769 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $2,129 | $25,889 | $536,702 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $8,652 | $79,297 | $560,462 | $0 | $869 |
| 2008 | $1,305,994 | $885,868 | $631,107 | $0 | $675,781 |
| 2006 | $4,337,301 | $5,275,480 | $210,981 | $0 | $2,452,783 |
| 2004 | $2,361,697 | $2,522,718 | $1,149,060 | $0 | $1,498,877 |
| 2002 | $1,812,214 | $724,783 | $1,310,081 | $0 | $1,009,853 |
| 2000 | $1,249,224 | $832,254 | $444,483 | $0 | $762,695 |
| 1998 | $879,812 | $851,862 | $27,603 | $0 | $557,236 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· NY-27 β won
- 2000 general house Β· NY-27 β won
- 2002 general house Β· NY-26 β won
- 2004 general house Β· NY-26 β won
- 2006 general house Β· NY-26 β won
- 2008 general house Β· NY-26 β lost_general
Committees
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | TOMPAC II | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | TOMPAC II | β | candidate_committees |