PAXON, L WILLIAM
R Β· house Β· bioguide P000148
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY31012- Internal id
5312b99b-7687-413d-99db-6c6db2f659ca- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1998 | $764,105 | $635,470 | $150,518 | $0 | $402,029 |
| 1996 | $1,442,755 | $1,553,754 | $21,883 | $0 | $717,526 |
| 1994 | $768,628 | $642,531 | $131,882 | $0 | $384,320 |
| 1992 | $845,163 | $1,017,327 | $5,784 | $0 | $474,935 |
| 1990 | $686,209 | $506,343 | $177,950 | $0 | $430,988 |
| 1988 | $699,916 | $702,024 | $95 | $13,349 | $398,627 |
Elections
- 1988 general house Β· NY-31 β won
- 1990 general house Β· NY-31 β won
- 1992 general house Β· NY-27 β won
- 1994 general house Β· NY-27 β won
- 1996 general house Β· NY-27 β won
- 1998 general house Β· NY-27 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor β HR 901 β American Land Sovereignty Protection Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 901 β American Land Sovereignty Protection Act | β | cosponsor | sponsorship |