PIERCE, JIM
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8NY31061- Internal id
bdbe2df4-99bf-4e26-810d-1f5ea31703a8- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $2,780 | $-879 | $5,144 | $0 |
| 2002 | $5,945 | $4,638 | $1,901 | $7,706 | $1,945 |
| 2000 | $16,855 | $16,595 | $595 | $11,305 | $16,855 |
| 1998 | $77,590 | $78,217 | $337 | $6,452 | $70,185 |
Elections
Committees
- JIM PIERCE VICTORY FUND β principal Β· type H
- LIBERTY TOUR β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LIBERTY TOUR | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JIM PIERCE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees |