SHOEMAKER, MYRL
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8OH12305- Internal id
34bb320b-b62c-43d2-8463-3add51beb3b7- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OH-12. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 798,482 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,493 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,771 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.451 |
| Race | White alone | 88.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 92.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.2% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 27.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.1% |
| Household | Family households | 68.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.58 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $246,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $971 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 76.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.9% |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· OH-12 β lost_general
Committees
No committees on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.