MCLEOD-SKINNER, JAMIE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H8OR02161
Internal id: 49ccc6c8-9d65-4057-964b-22d176810c41
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	714,831
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$93,030
Income	Per-capita income	$50,416
Income	In poverty	9.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.464
Race	White alone	81.5%
Race	Black alone	1.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.5%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.1%
Education	High school or higher	61.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.0%
Education	Advanced degree	14.1%
Household	Family households	66.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.50
Household	Never married (15+)	28.5%
Housing	Median home value	$566,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,660
Housing	Single-family detached	68.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.8%
Housing	Vacant units	7.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.1%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	67.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	20.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$818,997	$865,116	$0	$0	$752,862
2022	$3,670,804	$3,624,685	$46,119	$0	$3,123,006
2020	$14,727	$21,438	$0	$0	$10,197
2018	$1,324,503	$1,317,792	$6,711	$3,400	$1,259,888

Elections

2018 general house · OR-2 — lost_general
2020 general house · OR-2 — lost_general
2022 general house · OR-5 — lost_general
2024 general house · OR-5 — lost_general

Committees

JAMIE FOR OREGON — principal · type H
JAMIE FOR OREGON 2022 — principal · type H
MCLEOD-SKINNER FOR OREGON — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$549,960	$574,890	7
2022	$1,052,574	$1,882,409	59

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$100	Telephone Calls (Estimate)
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$2,910	Text Messages (estimate)
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$18,380	Telephone Calls
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$3,730	Text Messages (estimate)
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$475	Newspaper Ad
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$334	Newspaper Ad
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$32	Telephone Calls
—	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	oppose	$5,390	TV Advertising Production Expense Estimate
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	oppose	$4,500	T.V. Advertising Production
—	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$122,500	Digital Advertising
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$638	Newspaper advertising
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$900	Text Messages (estimate)
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$209	Newspaper Ad
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$301	Postage
—	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$67,500	Direct Mail
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	support	$1,091	Newspaper Ad
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	oppose	$3,750	T.V. Advertising Production (Estimate)
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	oppose	$3,750	T.V. Advertising Production (Estimate)
2024-05-16	NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY	oppose	$95,000	Television Advertising Buy & Production
2024-05-15	HEALTH EQUITY NOW	support	$149,980	Media Placement
2024-05-15	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	oppose	$95,000	TV Advertising
2024-05-14	HEALTH EQUITY NOW	support	$399,980	Media Placement
2024-05-02	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	oppose	$375,000	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$5,161	Telephone Advocacy
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	oppose	$2,907	Telephone Advocacy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$438
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$3,057
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$2,645
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$900
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	24A	$3,750
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$583
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$24
2025-02-18	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$30
2022-12-31	GOOD FRIENDS PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-31	GOOD FRIENDS PAC	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-14	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$-2,500
2022-11-21	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	24E	$18,379
2022-11-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$500
2022-11-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$5,000
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	24F	$4,222
2022-11-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$30,000
2022-11-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	24E	$15,000
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	24Z	$437
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$2,948
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	24K	$1,500
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	24A	$2,906
2022-11-07	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$200
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	24A	$5,160
2022-11-06	CLF	24A	$1,750
2022-11-04	FOOD AND WATER ACTION	24E	$138

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$24	pas2
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$438	pas2
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$3,057	pas2
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$2,645	pas2
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$3,750	pas2
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$900	pas2
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$583	pas2
—	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	opposes_independently	$5,390	fec_ies
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$4,500	fec_ies
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$3,750	fec_ies
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$3,750	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$900	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$638	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$100	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$301	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$475	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$1,091	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$334	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$32	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$2,910	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$3,730	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$209	fec_ies
—	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	supports_independently	$18,380	fec_ies
—	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$122,500	fec_ies
—	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$67,500	fec_ies
2025-02-18	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$30	pas2
2024-05-16	NEW DEMOCRAT MAJORITY	opposes_independently	$95,000	fec_ies
2024-05-15	NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND	opposes_independently	$95,000	fec_ies
2024-05-15	HEALTH EQUITY NOW	supports_independently	$149,980	fec_ies
2024-05-14	HEALTH EQUITY NOW	supports_independently	$399,980	fec_ies
2024-05-02	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	opposes_independently	$375,000	fec_ies
2022-12-31	GOOD FRIENDS PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-31	GOOD FRIENDS PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-14	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2
2022-11-21	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$18,379	pas2
2022-11-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-15	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-10	INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS	contributed_to	$4,222	pas2
2022-11-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-11-09	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2
2022-11-08	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN PAC	contributed_to	$437	pas2
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$2,948	pas2
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$2,907	fec_ies
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$5,161	fec_ies
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$5,160	pas2
2022-11-07	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$2,906	pas2
2022-11-07	SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-11-07	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2022-11-06	CLF	contributed_to	$1,750	pas2
2022-11-05	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
2022-11-04	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-11-04	FOOD AND WATER ACTION PAC	contributed_to	$138	pas2
2022-11-04	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-11-03	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$175,000	fec_ies
2022-11-03	MAXWELL ALEJANDRO FROST FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-11-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-03	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$175,000	pas2
2022-11-03	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$6	pas2
2022-11-03	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$122,500	pas2
2022-11-03	AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-03	JANE FONDA CLIMATE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-11-03	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$67,500	pas2
2022-11-02	NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2022-11-02	DCCC	contributed_to	$3,913	pas2
2022-11-02	CLF	contributed_to	$35,804	pas2
2022-11-02	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$500	fec_ies
2022-11-01	CLF	contributed_to	$7,450	pas2
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$1,091	pas2
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$208	pas2
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$475	pas2
2022-11-01	L PAC	contributed_to	$25,000	pas2
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$637	pas2
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$333	pas2
2022-11-01	L PAC	supports_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
2022-11-01	INDIVISIBLE ACTION	contributed_to	$637	pas2
2022-10-31	CLF	contributed_to	$96,000	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-31	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	supports_independently	$24,363	fec_ies
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$100	pas2
2022-10-31	MAD 4 PA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	EQUALITY PROJECT PAC	contributed_to	$24,363	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$10	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-10-31	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$11,420	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$1,900	pas2
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	supports_independently	$356	fec_ies
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	supports_independently	$473	fec_ies
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	contributed_to	$356	pas2
2022-10-28	CLF	contributed_to	$13,000	pas2
2022-10-28	CLF	contributed_to	$480,932	pas2
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	contributed_to	$269	pas2
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	supports_independently	$213	fec_ies
2022-10-28	CLF	contributed_to	$7,500	pas2
2022-10-28	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$225,000	pas2
2022-10-28	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$225,000	fec_ies
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	opposes_independently	$3,686	fec_ies
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	contributed_to	$213	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$5,654	pas2
2022-10-28	DEFEND US PAC	contributed_to	$3,686	pas2
2022-10-28	GREENPEACE, INC.	contributed_to	$277	pas2

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	JAMIE FOR OREGON 2022	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	MCLEOD-SKINNER FOR OREGON	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	JAMIE FOR OREGON	—	candidate_committees

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