SCHRADER, KURT

D · house · bioguide S001180

FEC candidate id: H8OR05107
Internal id: 88787581-23e7-4979-bf0c-710c426b3095
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-05. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	714,831
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$93,030
Income	Per-capita income	$50,416
Income	In poverty	9.3%
Income	Unemployed	4.6%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.464
Race	White alone	81.5%
Race	Black alone	1.0%
Race	Asian alone	2.9%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	10.5%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	6.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	89.7%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	6.1%
Education	High school or higher	61.0%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	39.0%
Education	Advanced degree	14.1%
Household	Family households	66.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.50
Household	Never married (15+)	28.5%
Housing	Median home value	$566,000
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,660
Housing	Single-family detached	68.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.8%
Housing	Vacant units	7.5%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.1%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	4.5%
Commute	Drove alone	67.1%
Commute	Public transit	1.1%
Commute	Worked from home	20.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2022	$2,725,217	$5,181,348	$60,368	$0	$992,517
2020	$2,034,595	$1,937,977	$2,516,499	$0	$433,766
2018	$2,080,538	$862,329	$2,420,381	$0	$604,234
2016	$1,909,841	$1,569,297	$1,202,171	$0	$501,526
2014	$1,637,572	$1,365,699	$861,627	$134,278	$588,982
2012	$1,781,164	$1,197,027	$592,354	$174,278	$688,481
2010	$1,872,837	$1,914,023	$8,217	$174,278	$773,714
2008	$1,438,601	$1,389,054	$49,547	$289,122	$542,716

Elections

2008 general house · OR-5 — won
2010 general house · OR-5 — won
2012 general house · OR-5 — won
2014 general house · OR-5 — won
2016 general house · OR-5 — won
2018 general house · OR-5 — won
2020 general house · OR-5 — won
2022 general house · OR-5 — lost_general

Committees

JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012 — joint_fundraising · type N
KS COMMITTEE — principal · type N
KS COMMITTEE — independent · type N
OREGON VICTORY 2010 — joint_fundraising · type N
SCHRADER-MERKLEY 2008 — joint_fundraising · type H

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$2,445,767	$71,804	19

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$11,250	T.V. Advertising Production (Estimate)
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	support	$75,000	Digital Ads for Rep. Kurt Schrader
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$4,625	Facebook Ad buy and set up costs
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$7,200	Online digital ads
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	support	$1,200	Administrative consulting
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$11,250	T.V. Advertising Production (Estimate)
2022-05-19	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	oppose	$500	Digital Ads
2022-05-13	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	oppose	$33,713	Mail
2022-05-06	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	oppose	$500	Digital Ads
2022-05-05	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	oppose	$37,091	Mail
2022-04-29	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$577,501	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-04-29	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	support	$577,501	T.V. Advertising Buy
2022-04-26	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS	support	$50,000	Internet Advertisement-Schrader Ad #1
2022-04-19	EARN INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	support	$75,000	Digital Ad / Production
2022-04-14	ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION	support	$15,240	Internet Advertising/Production
2022-03-25	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	support	$270,000	Digital media boy (estimated)
2022-03-25	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	support	$30,000	Media productions (estimated)
2022-03-25	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	support	$355,000	Media buy (TV) estimated
2022-03-25	CENTER FORWARD COMMITTEE	support	$385,000	Media production and time buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	24E	$11,250
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	24E	$75,000
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$7,200
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$4,625
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTI…	24E	$1,200
2022-12-12	BAYER US LLC EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE…	24K	$-5,000
2022-12-07	ELI LILLY AND COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-3,500
2022-11-23	GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITT…	24K	$-1,000
2022-11-02	PFIZER INC. PAC	24K	$-2,000
2022-11-02	PFIZER INC. PAC	24K	$-3,000
2022-10-20	CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP. ASSOC. POLITICAL FU…	24K	$-2,500
2022-10-12	CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$2,500
2022-09-28	BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM USA CORPORATION POLITICAL …	24K	$-5,000
2022-09-15	SOUTHWEST AIRLINES PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL…	24K	$-5,000
2022-09-08	NOVARTIS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-2,500
2022-09-06	WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$-5,000
2022-09-02	AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTA…	24K	$-500
2022-08-22	PROFESSIONAL COMPOUNDING CENTERS OF AMERICA POL…	24K	$-2,000
2022-08-22	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE …	24K	$-2,500
2022-08-18	NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION…	24K	$-5,000
2022-08-15	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	24K	$-2,500
2022-08-11	CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC	24K	$-500
2022-08-11	WESTERN SUGAR COOPERATIVE PAC	24K	$-2,000
2022-08-10	UNITED EGG ASSOCIATION EGGPAC	24K	$-1,500
2022-08-08	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	24K	$-5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$11,250	24E	fec_pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$4,625	24E	fec_pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$1,200	24E	fec_pas2
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$75,000	24E	fec_pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$7,200	24E	fec_pas2
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$75,000		pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$4,625		pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,200		pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$7,200		pas2
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$11,250		pas2
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$4,625		fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$7,200		fec_ies
—	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$1,200		fec_ies
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$11,250		fec_ies
—	MAINSTREAM DEMOCRATS PAC	supports_independently	$11,250		fec_ies
—	AMERICAN COLLEGE OF RADIOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC	supports_independently	$75,000		fec_ies
2022-12-12	BAYER US LLC EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BAYERPAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-12-07	ELI LILLY AND COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-3,500		pas2
2022-11-23	GENERAL MOTORS COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GM PAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-11-02	PFIZER INC. PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-11-02	PFIZER INC. PAC	contributed_to	$-3,000		pas2
2022-10-20	CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP. ASSOC. POLITICAL FUND	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-10-12	CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-10-12	CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500		pas2
2022-09-28	BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM USA CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BOEHRINGER PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-09-15	SOUTHWEST AIRLINES PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SWAPA PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-09-08	NOVARTIS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-09-06	WEYERHAEUSER COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-09-02	AMERICAN INSTITUTE OF CERTIFIED PUBLIC ACCOUNTANTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-500		pas2
2022-08-22	CENTENE CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (CENTENE PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-08-22	PROFESSIONAL COMPOUNDING CENTERS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-08-18	NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-08-15	NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-08-11	WESTERN SUGAR COOPERATIVE PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-08-11	CRH AMERICAS, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$-500		pas2
2022-08-10	UNITED EGG ASSOCIATION EGGPAC	contributed_to	$-1,500		pas2
2022-08-08	WALMART INC. PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-08-02	PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-08-02	POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF ORTHOPAEDIC SURGEONS--PAC OF AAOS	contributed_to	$-4,000		pas2
2022-08-02	BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-08-02	BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-31	MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-29	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF INSURANCE AND FINANCIAL ADVISORS POLITICAL ACTION COMM	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-29	STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-28	AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-28	AMERICAN CHEMISTRY COUNCIL PAC	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-28	UNITEDHEALTH GROUP INCORPORATED PAC (UNITEDHEALTH GROUP PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-28	NCTA - THE INTERNET & TELEVISION ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCTAPAC)	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-07-28	NCTA - THE INTERNET & TELEVISION ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NCTAPAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-07-27	NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-26	ALTRIA GROUP, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ALTRIAPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-26	HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-25	THE HOME DEPOT INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-21	AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-21	WINE AND SPIRITS WHOLESALERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-21	NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-21	AMERICAN HEALTH CARE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-20	ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-19	BALLARD SPAHR LLP PAC	contributed_to	$-1,500		pas2
2022-07-18	LIMITLESS HORIZONS	contributed_to	$-1,600		pas2
2022-07-15	PHILLIPS 66 PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-15	US ENERGY PAC (THE PAC OF AMERICAN EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION COUNCIL, INC.)	contributed_to	$-1,100		pas2
2022-07-15	AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC.	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-15	DCCC	contributed_to	$-4,507		pas2
2022-07-14	SALT RIVER VALLEY WATER USERS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL INVOLVEMENT COMMITTEE ( SRPPIC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-14	COX ENTERPRISES PAC (COXPAC) INC.	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-14	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-07-14	AMERICAN ACADEMY OF OPHTHALMOLOGY INC POLITICAL COMMITTEE (OPHTHPAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-14	SENIOR CARE PHARMACY COALITION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-07-14	NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-13	NATIONAL PROPANE GAS ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-13	UNION PACIFIC CORP. FUND FOR EFFECTIVE GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-07-13	ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ELEVANCE HEALTH PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-07-13	COMCAST CORPORATION & NBCUNIVERSAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - FEDERAL	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-13	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-13	ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ELEVANCE HEALTH PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-07-12	AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AT&T EMPLOYEE FEDERAL PAC)	contributed_to	$-3,000		pas2
2022-07-12	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$5,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-07-12	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000		pas2
2022-07-11	ZENECA INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AZPAC)	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-11	ROCKET LIMITED PARTNERSHIP PAC (ROCKET PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-08	AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION PAC (BANKPAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-07-07	INTERNATIONAL DAIRY FOODS ASSOCIATION (IDFA) PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-06	DANG PAC FUTURE FUND	contributed_to	$500		pas2
2022-07-06	AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-07-06	DANG PAC FUTURE FUND	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-07-01	HMP	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-01	HOYER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-07-01	AMERICAN VETERINARY MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-07-01	AMERIPAC: THE FUND FOR A GREATER AMERICA	contributed_to	$-5,000		pas2
2022-06-30	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-06-30	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,000		pas2
2022-06-30	AMERICAN FOREST & PAPER ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-2,500		pas2
2022-06-30	BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000		pas2
2022-06-02	DEVELOPING A NEW GENERATION PAC (DANG PAC)	contributed_to	$3,500		pas2
2022-06-02	DEVELOPING A NEW GENERATION PAC (DANG PAC)	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,500	24K	fec_pas2
2022-06-01	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24A	fec_pas2
2022-06-01	FORD MOTOR COMPANY CIVIC ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$-1,500		pas2
2022-06-01	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$500	24A	fec_pas2
2022-06-01	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2

Outbound (5)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	independent_committee_of	KS COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	JARED POLIS VICTORY FUND 2012	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SCHRADER-MERKLEY 2008	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	OREGON VICTORY 2010	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	KS COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees

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