LAWRENCE, MICHELE
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8PA01245- Internal id
e75ac7e8-a7ac-40a8-a779-dfc9a0020803- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,424 |
| People | Median age | 36 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,334 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,907 |
| Income | In poverty | 22.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 8.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.490 |
| Race | White alone | 38.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 24.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 25.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 20.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 64.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 18.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 57.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 46.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $233,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,340 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 11.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 10.7% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 3.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 19.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 53.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 13.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $36 | $224 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $339,187 | $374,178 | $39,530 | $331,441 | $26,182 |
Elections
- 2018 general house Β· PA-2 β lost_general
Committees
- MICHELE FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
- PHILADELPHIA VOTERS UNITED β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHELE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PHILADELPHIA VOTERS UNITED | β | candidate_committees |