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PERRY, PAUL-DAVID II

D Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H8PA07143
Internal id
b4bbd443-82ee-4fc9-9828-b003d59aac74
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-07. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation775,601
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$82,392
IncomePer-capita income$43,582
IncomeIn poverty10.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.5%
IncomeGini inequality index0.454
RaceWhite alone69.8%
RaceBlack alone6.0%
RaceAsian alone3.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino20.8%
RaceTwo or more races12.1%
OriginForeign-born11.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home80.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.8%
EducationHigh school or higher65.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher32.8%
EducationAdvanced degree12.6%
HouseholdFamily households67.0%
HouseholdAvg household size2.52
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.8%
HousingMedian home value$292,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,358
HousingSingle-family detached55.8%
HousingBuilt before 19405.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units6.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability13.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.6%
CommuteDrove alone74.0%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2018$91,252$91,252$0$0$85,093

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2025-04-14YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PAC24A$6,260

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2025-04-14YOUTH SAVE DEMOCRACY PACcontributed_to$6,260pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofPERRY FOR PENNSYLVANIAβ€”candidate_committees

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