STEPHENS, CRAIG CRYAN
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8PA18066- Internal id
7457369e-8ee8-4ec3-b7ff-fd4a18e5e988- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2004 | $0 | $506 | $1,777 | $0 | $0 |
| 2002 | $0 | $1,017 | $2,284 | $0 | $0 |
| 2000 | $8,382 | $7,729 | $3,301 | $0 | $7,955 |
| 1998 | $12,863 | $10,406 | $2,456 | $0 | $9,581 |
Elections
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT CRAIG STEPHENS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
1 typed relationship in the influence graph β 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.
principal candidate of (1)
| date | dir | entity | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | β | COMMITTEE TO ELECT CRAIG STEPHENS | β | candidate_committees |