LAWRENCE, ROBERT I
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H8WA06076- Internal id
cb38a743-800a-40ed-b25f-3473d3e8c81c- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-06. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 782,007 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $90,625 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $49,651 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.450 |
| Race | White alone | 74.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 7.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 89.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 4.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.4% |
| Household | Family households | 63.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $498,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,651 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 12.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2002 | $61,294 | $62,571 | $0 | $0 | $29,071 |
| 2000 | $116,991 | $117,547 | $13 | $14,589 | $62,125 |
| 1998 | $30,609 | $30,031 | $577 | $4,020 | $9,985 |
Elections
- 1998 general house Β· WA-6 β lost_general
- 2000 general house Β· WA-6 β lost_general
- 2002 general house Β· WA-6 β lost_general
Committees
- BOB LAWRENCE 2000 β principal Β· type H
- BOB LAWRENCE FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
- ELECT BOB LAWRENCE COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB LAWRENCE 2000 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELECT BOB LAWRENCE COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | BOB LAWRENCE FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |