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BUSH, GEORGE

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P00000455
Internal id
35f86009-a933-4022-8a67-fa6088b30438
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2004$0$6,700$0$0$0
2002$0$1,683$6,702$27,456,010$0
2000$2,570$861$8,389$0$0
1998$82,458$122,133$6,682$0$12,100
1996$145,654$677,653$46,359$0$0
1994$2,806,831$6,291,531$529,494$0$99,542
1992$100,510,119$97,408,010$3,990,340$507,796$31,496,588
1990$1,426,783$3,129,281$893,313$0$102,872
1988$91,349,615$88,752,522$0$0$23,754,337
1980$22,207,071$22,206,046$0$0$7,710,760

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (10)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofDEMOCRATS AGAINST BUSH IN '92β€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofOREGON REPUBLICAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ORRPAC)β€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofKANSANS FOR THE VP 86β€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofBLACKS FOR A REPUBLICAN VICTORYβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofAG-BUSINESS COUNCILβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofUNDECIDED VOTERS FOR PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofJEFFERSON VICTORY FUND (FKA:CONSERVATIVES FOR BUSHβ€”candidate_committees
β€”independent_committee_ofINDEPENDENT PENNSYLVANIANS FOR BUSH COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofBUSH - QUAYLE '92 PRIMARY COMMITTEE INCβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofBUSH-QUAYLE '92 GENERAL COMMITTEE INCβ€”candidate_committees

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