THOMPSON, FRED DALTON
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00003186- Internal id
b754a553-a21a-440f-b0a6-2075c3c73642- Status
- open seat
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $24,519,318 | $24,316,845 | $202,472 | $24,376 | $23,692,128 |
Elections
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- CALIFORNIA FOR FRED THOMPSON DRAFT COMMITTEE β independent Β· type U
- COMMITTEE FOR DELEGATES β independent Β· type U
- DRAFT FRED THOMPSON 2008 β independent Β· type U
- FRED THOMPSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE β principal Β· type Q
- FRED THOMPSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE β independent Β· type Q
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | FRED THOMPSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | DRAFT FRED THOMPSON 2008 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | CALIFORNIA FOR FRED THOMPSON DRAFT COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | independent_committee_of | DELEGATES | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRED THOMPSON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |