MOREAU, ROBERT EDWARD
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00003327- Internal id
1cbc9480-77df-4b21-8dcd-3ad03ee3f89a- Status
- open seat
Elections
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
- 2008 general president β running
Committees
- COMMITTEE FOR ROB MOREAU CANDIDATE FOR THE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENCY OF THE USA β principal Β· type P
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT ROBERT E MOREAU TO THE OFFICE OF PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT ROBERT E MOREAU TO THE OFFICE OF PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE FOR ROB MOREAU CANDIDATE FOR THE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENCY OF THE USA | β | candidate_committees |