CAIN, HERMAN
R Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00003608- Internal id
6f359819-dd89-404a-a40a-1f4edd68cf25- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $0 | $75 | $258 | $19,799 | $0 |
| 2018 | $0 | $940 | $333 | $19,799 | $0 |
| 2016 | $12,030 | $15,830 | $1,273 | $19,799 | $0 |
| 2014 | $16,671 | $15,716 | $5,073 | $19,799 | $525 |
| 2012 | $16,917,977 | $16,913,859 | $4,117 | $450,000 | $16,024,397 |
| 2000 | $28,537 | $28,537 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2000 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
- 2012 general president β running
Committees
- CAIN FOR PRESIDENT INC β principal Β· type P
- DRAFT HERMAN CAIN β independent Β· type U
- FRIENDS OF HERMAN CAIN INC β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | DRAFT HERMAN CAIN | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF HERMAN CAIN INC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | CAIN FOR PRESIDENT INC | β | candidate_committees |