TAYLOR, JAMES

R · president

FEC candidate id: P00004184
Internal id: 2b4ec552-3a41-4f63-aaac-2837826dedcf
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2004	$5,409	$5,409	$0	$0	$748
2000	$1,882	$1,797	$74	$0	$94

Elections

2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running

Committees

COMMITTEE TO ELECT JIM TAYLOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P
TAYLOR FOR PRESIDENT 2004 — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE TO ELECT JIM TAYLOR PRESIDENT	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	TAYLOR FOR PRESIDENT 2004	—		candidate_committees

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