pac.dog pac.dog / Candidates

TATE, ALEXANDRIA

R Β· president

Sign in to add to a watchlist β†’

FEC candidate id
P00009589
Internal id
4688e55e-990b-48c4-8387-b90ae4bb4d2f
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_of2020 PRESIDENTIAL COMMITTEE ALEXANDRIA TATEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_of2020 PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

pac.dog is a free, independent, non-partisan research tool. Every candidate, committee, bill, vote, member, and nonprofit on this site is mirrored from primary U.S. government sources (FEC, congress.gov, govinfo.gov, IRS) and each state's Secretary of State / election commission β€” no third-party data vendors, no paywall, no editorial intermediation. Citations to the originating source are on every detail page. Want to partner? Contact us.

Costs about $62/month to run β€” free to use.