WARREN, ELIZABETH

D · president

FEC candidate id: P00009621
Internal id: 463ebb3b-c15e-48bd-b365-b31edd5bedb6
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$6,314	$5,826	$2,135	$0	$0
2024	$7,978	$9,483	$1,647	$0	$0
2022	$492,020	$667,367	$3,152	$0	$6,110
2020	$131,368,112	$131,189,613	$178,499	$439,337	$115,894,924

Elections

2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

WARREN FOR PRESIDENT, INC. — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-13	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$2,000
2025-08-19	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$2,000
2025-05-15	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$2,000
2022-03-21	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$3,000
2022-02-22	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$155,040
2021-09-10	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$101,111
2021-07-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$153,458
2021-06-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	24K	$13,735

Connected on the graph

Inbound (16)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2026-03-13	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2026-03-13	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2025-08-19	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2025-08-19	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2025-05-15	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$2,000	24K	fec_pas2
2025-05-15	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$2,000		pas2
2022-03-21	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$3,000	24K	fec_pas2
2022-03-21	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$3,000		pas2
2022-02-22	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$155,040		pas2
2022-02-22	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$155,040	24K	fec_pas2
2021-09-10	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$101,111	24K	fec_pas2
2021-09-10	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$101,111		pas2
2021-07-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$153,458		pas2
2021-07-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$153,458	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	committee_contributed_to_candidate	$13,735	24K	fec_pas2
2021-06-09	WARREN FOR SENATE, INC.	contributed_to	$13,735		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	WARREN FOR PRESIDENT, INC.	—		candidate_committees

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