RYAN, TIMOTHY J.

D · president

FEC candidate id: P00011338
Internal id: 61a4cb49-8558-4223-b0d7-b7102a32e422
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$1,341,246	$1,340,943	$304	$0	$1,285,074

Elections

2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

TIM RYAN FOR AMERICA — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2021-11-17	HUSKY PAC	24K	$500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-11-17	HUSKY PAC	contributed_to	$500		pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	TIM RYAN FOR AMERICA	—		candidate_committees

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