BILLER, NICHOLAS ASHTON
I Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00014035- Internal id
981ad7fe-bed6-4c8d-baea-1a640842ed1a
Elections
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
Committees
- NICHOLAS BILLER COMMITTEE β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | NICHOLAS BILLER COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |