AVOURIS, AARON PATRICK
I Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P00015297- Internal id
fdd3af06-475f-4464-b64c-9a67b9ebdedf
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $2 | $0 | $7 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $9 | $1 | $0 | $0 | $3 |
| 2022 | $0 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $1 | $0 | $1 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β running
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β lost_general
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
- 2028 general president β running
Committees
- ZERO EXPENDITURE IN THE ELECTION OF AARON AVOURIS FOR PRESIDENT β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ZERO EXPENDITURE IN THE ELECTION OF AARON AVOURIS FOR PRESIDENT | β | candidate_committees |