ZAYAS, MICHAEL
D Β· president
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
P00016295- Internal id
0d47c401-119b-4530-9a05-8fc4b390e965- Status
- challenger
Elections
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
- 2020 general president β running
Committees
- MICHAEL ZAYAS FOR POTUS 2024 β principal Β· type P
- MICHAEL ZAYAS FOR PRESIDENT 2020; TIME TO HEAL, LISTEN, REBUILD, RESTRUCTURE, REFORM, UNITE BECAUSE ALL LIVES MATTER IN USA β principal Β· type P
- ZAYAS FOR POTUS 2024 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ZAYAS FOR POTUS 2024 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL ZAYAS FOR PRESIDENT 2020; TIME TO HEAL, LISTEN, REBUILD, RESTRUCTURE, REFORM, UNITE BECAUSE ALL LIVES MATTER IN USA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | MICHAEL ZAYAS FOR POTUS 2024 | β | candidate_committees |