FARMS, WILLIAM BRENDAN MR

I · president

FEC candidate id: P00016311
Internal id: 566942a3-8b1a-47d0-bb18-a8bcc6678e4a
Status: challenger

Elections

2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2024 general president · 2024-11-05 — lost_general
2024 general president · 2024-11-05 — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running
2024 general president — running

Committees

COMMITTEE TO ELECT WILLIAM FARMS AS PRESIDENT OF THE USA — principal · type P
WILLIAM FARMS FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P
WILLIAM FARMS HAS ESP — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (3)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	WILLIAM FARMS HAS ESP	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	WILLIAM FARMS FOR PRESIDENT	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	COMMITTEE TO ELECT WILLIAM FARMS AS PRESIDENT OF THE USA	—	candidate_committees

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