FLYNN, RICHARD FRANCIS

D · president

FEC candidate id: P20001475
Internal id: 67472b20-bc94-4654-965a-40712551fcfb
Status: open seat

Elections

1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1992 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
1996 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2000 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running
2008 general president — running

Committees

DICK FLYNN FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE — principal · type P
FLYNN 2000 COMMITTEE — principal · type P
FLYNN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008 COMMITTEE — principal · type P
PRO-LIFE AMERICA COMMITTEE — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	principal_candidate_of	FLYNN FOR PRESIDENT IN 2008 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FLYNN 2000 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	PRO-LIFE AMERICA COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DICK FLYNN FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees

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