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FREY, DAVID ROBT CDR USN RET

I Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P20003083
Internal id
72a6d460-11f2-4e2a-af12-ce30a57f9b1a
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

1 typed relationship in the influence graph β€” 0 inbound, 1 outbound, grouped by type.

principal candidate of (1)
datedirentityamountrolesource
β€”β†’DAVID ROBT FREYβ€”candidate_committees

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