CRANSTON, ALAN
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P40000176- Internal id
3f87c64e-fdc7-475c-8786-7c7918fbbcae- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | $5,558 | $9,155 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 1992 | $5,000 | $17,958 | $3,596 | $228,793 | $5,000 |
| 1990 | $77,034 | $64,620 | $16,554 | $243,793 | $40,577 |
| 1988 | $100,259 | $112,657 | $0 | $0 | $331,337 |
| 1986 | $204,966 | $256,363 | $0 | $0 | $119,764 |
| 1984 | $7,706,268 | $7,642,717 | $0 | $0 | $3,220,811 |
| 1982 | $330,116 | $310,643 | $0 | $0 | $144,610 |
Elections
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
- 1984 general president β running
Committees
- CRANSTON FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | CRANSTON FOR PRESIDENT COMMITTEE INC | β | candidate_committees |