MESPLAY, KENT PHILIP

G · president

FEC candidate id: P40003279
Internal id: dd5b1837-c05d-43ed-ab06-84ec13dc338a
Status: challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2020	$40	$40	$1	$18,903	$0
2018	$4,260	$4,291	$1	$18,863	$0
2016	$4,608	$4,620	$33	$18,583	$3,747
2014	$953	$959	$46	$17,830	$403
2012	$11,945	$11,942	$46	$17,024	$5,261
2010	$393	$534	$44	$10,955	$0
2008	$9,242	$8,987	$187	$10,561	$4,583
2006	$0	$0	$50	$7,443	$0
2004	$8,799	$8,760	$50	$7,443	$964

Elections

2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2004 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2012 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2016 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running
2020 general president — running

Committees

MESPLAY FOR PRESIDENT — principal · type P

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MESPLAY FOR PRESIDENT	—		candidate_committees

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