GAILEY, WILLIAM
D Β· president
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- FEC candidate id
P40007031- Internal id
76354f7a-36ee-47df-93b0-92c91b06bf22- Status
- challenger
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $974 | $782 | $192 | $0 | $0 |
Elections
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β lost_general
- 2024 general president Β· 2024-11-05 β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
- 2024 general president β running
Committees
- WILLIAM GAILEY 2024 β principal Β· type P
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $288 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | WILLIAM GAILEY 2024 | support | $288 | Products and Services |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (1)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-01 | WILLIAM GAILEY 2024 | supports_independently | $288 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | WILLIAM GAILEY 2024 | β | candidate_committees |