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JOHNSON, CHRISTEN ERIKA

OTHER Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40010225
Internal id
c4d12e8e-9fb4-4272-8d35-b724043f97aa
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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Outbound (1)

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β€”principal_candidate_ofCOMMITTEE FOR CHRISTEN E. JOHNSONβ€”candidate_committees

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