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OLIVER, CHASE RUSSELL

L Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40011983
Internal id
6e662be8-12b1-470c-b042-7043e81fcb52
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$6,553$8,645$0$45,564$6,159
2024$481,990$479,897$2,092$50,675$477,075

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$4,864,421$011

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupport$45,370Video Production (Estimate)
2024-10-30CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupport$200,000Digital Ad Program - Estimated
2024-10-24VOTERS OF THESE 50 STATES OF AMERICAsupport$1,400,000Digital Advertising
2024-10-24RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupport$25,000Digital Advertising (Estimate)
2024-10-23CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupport$1,436,893Digital Ad Buy - Estimated
2024-10-22CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupport$15,000In-Kind: Ad Production - Estimated
2024-10-21CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupport$1,500,000Digital Media Buy - Estimated
2024-10-18RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupport$25,000Digital Advertising (Estimate)
2024-10-17CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupport$92,158Texting Program - Estimated
2024-10-09RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupport$75,000Video Production (Estimate)
2024-10-09RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupport$50,000Digital Advertising (Estimate)

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee CHASE OLIVER FOR PRESIDENT.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

DonorEmployer / occupationCity, STGiftsTotal
OLIVER, CHASEN/A Β· POLITICIANTUCKER, GA1$393

Connected on the graph

Inbound (11)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupports_independently$45,370fec_ies
2024-10-30CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupports_independently$200,000fec_ies
2024-10-24VOTERS OF THESE 50 STATES OF AMERICAsupports_independently$1,400,000fec_ies
2024-10-24RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
2024-10-23CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupports_independently$1,436,893fec_ies
2024-10-22CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
2024-10-21CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupports_independently$1,500,000fec_ies
2024-10-18RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
2024-10-17CIVIC TRUTH ACTIONsupports_independently$92,158fec_ies
2024-10-09RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupports_independently$75,000fec_ies
2024-10-09RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANSsupports_independently$50,000fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofCHASE OLIVER FOR PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees

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