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SCOTT, TIMOTHY E.

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40012155
Internal id
9159850e-bfc1-40f0-8957-283cdc633317
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$4,407,149$5,156,352$4,968,320$0$3,681,412
2024$18,856,383$34,917,284$5,717,523$0$16,176,071

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$16,046,575$32,197114

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$714Ad Buy (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$1,500Ad Production (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$375Ad Buy (Estimate)
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$4,000Estimated Cost for Production and Distribution of Digital A…
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$30Ad Production (Estimate)
2023-10-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$19,638NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DOOR HANGERS
2023-10-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$22,989NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-10-27OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND, INC.support$100,000DIGITAL VOTER CONTACT
2023-10-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$100,000NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL & SMS ADVERTISING
2023-10-25TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$22,989NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-10-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$18,900NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DOOR HANGERS
2023-10-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$7,700NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DOOR HANGERS
2023-10-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$90,803NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL ME…
2023-10-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$71,917NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL ME…
2023-10-10TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$328,003NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-10-10TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$529,840NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-10-07TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$90,804NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL ME…
2023-10-07TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$71,918NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL ME…
2023-10-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$165,000NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DOOR-TO-DOOR GOTV
2023-10-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$278,736NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DOOR-TO-DOOR GOTV
2023-10-03TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$529,853NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-10-03TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$328,011NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-09-29TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$13,505NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: DIGITAL MEDIA PLACEMENT / DIGITAL ME…
2023-09-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$323,345NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT
2023-09-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupport$175,916NON-CONTRIBUTION ACCT: MEDIA PLACEMENT

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$1,500fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$375fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$30fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$714fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$4,000fec_ies
2023-10-27OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$100,000fec_ies
2023-10-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$22,989fec_ies
2023-10-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$19,638fec_ies
2023-10-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$100,000fec_ies
2023-10-25TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$22,989fec_ies
2023-10-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$18,900fec_ies
2023-10-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$7,700fec_ies
2023-10-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$90,803fec_ies
2023-10-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$71,917fec_ies
2023-10-10TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$529,840fec_ies
2023-10-10TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$328,003fec_ies
2023-10-07TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$90,804fec_ies
2023-10-07TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$71,918fec_ies
2023-10-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$165,000fec_ies
2023-10-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$278,736fec_ies
2023-10-03TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$328,011fec_ies
2023-10-03TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$529,853fec_ies
2023-09-29TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$13,505fec_ies
2023-09-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$323,345fec_ies
2023-09-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$175,916fec_ies
2023-09-25OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$117,844fec_ies
2023-09-25TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$423,750fec_ies
2023-09-22TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,250fec_ies
2023-09-22TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,250fec_ies
2023-09-19TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$321,253fec_ies
2023-09-19TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$174,778fec_ies
2023-09-14TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$250,000fec_ies
2023-09-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$321,253fec_ies
2023-09-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$174,778fec_ies
2023-09-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$174,777fec_ies
2023-09-06TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$321,251fec_ies
2023-09-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$85,000fec_ies
2023-09-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$266,670fec_ies
2023-09-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$199,500fec_ies
2023-09-05COURAGEOUS CONSERVATIVES PACopposes_independently$11,935fec_ies
2023-09-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$182,970fec_ies
2023-09-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$165,000fec_ies
2023-08-30TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$210,992fec_ies
2023-08-30TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$130,496fec_ies
2023-08-30TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$1,360fec_ies
2023-08-30TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,569fec_ies
2023-08-30TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,419fec_ies
2023-08-25COURAGEOUS CONSERVATIVES PACopposes_independently$5,995fec_ies
2023-08-23TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$750fec_ies
2023-08-23TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,700fec_ies
2023-08-23TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,697fec_ies
2023-08-23TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$750fec_ies
2023-08-23OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$21,526fec_ies
2023-08-23OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$98,705fec_ies
2023-08-21PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$225fec_ies
2023-08-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$9,440fec_ies
2023-08-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$18,880fec_ies
2023-08-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$18,880fec_ies
2023-08-16COURAGEOUS CONSERVATIVES PACopposes_independently$7,423fec_ies
2023-08-15TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$223,601fec_ies
2023-08-15TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$144,001fec_ies
2023-08-08TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,697fec_ies
2023-08-08TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,700fec_ies
2023-08-07TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$285,000fec_ies
2023-08-03TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$250,025fec_ies
2023-08-02TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,500fec_ies
2023-08-02TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,250fec_ies
2023-08-02TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,500fec_ies
2023-08-02TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,250fec_ies
2023-08-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$231,133fec_ies
2023-08-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$130,495fec_ies
2023-08-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$210,992fec_ies
2023-08-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$112,516fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,699fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$10,500fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,697fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$27,000fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,980fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$4,980fec_ies
2023-07-26TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$13,000fec_ies
2023-07-21TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,939fec_ies
2023-07-21TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$2,939fec_ies
2023-07-18TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,696fec_ies
2023-07-18TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,699fec_ies
2023-07-17TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$452,200fec_ies
2023-07-13TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$165,000fec_ies
2023-07-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,696fec_ies
2023-07-11TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,699fec_ies
2023-07-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$129,705fec_ies
2023-07-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
2023-07-05TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$209,714fec_ies
2023-07-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$112,516fec_ies
2023-07-01TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$231,133fec_ies
2023-06-29OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$253,812fec_ies
2023-06-29OPPORTUNITY MATTERS FUND ACTIONsupports_independently$157,786fec_ies
2023-06-28TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$8,500fec_ies
2023-06-28TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$8,500fec_ies
2023-06-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$123,141fec_ies
2023-06-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$82,222fec_ies
2023-06-27TRUST IN THE MISSION PACsupports_independently$48,329fec_ies

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