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PENCE, MIKE

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40013435
Internal id
191b31c0-14e7-436f-bd20-71c7a16526ef
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$35,477$177,946$86,743$126,764$0
2024$7,150,753$6,921,541$229,212$126,764$5,506,016

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$0$7,0146

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$4,000Estimated Cost for Production and Distribution of Digital A…
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$375Ad Buy (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$200Ad Production (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$714Ad Buy (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONoppose$1,500Ad Production (Estimate)
2023-08-21PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESoppose$225Estimated Cost for Staff time for Voter Communications

Connected on the graph

Inbound (6)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$375fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$200fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$714fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$1,500fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$4,000fec_ies
2023-08-21PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$225fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMIKE PENCE FOR PRESIDENTβ€”candidate_committees

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