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SUAREZ, FRANCIS X.

R Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40013765
Internal id
cc310023-046e-488f-b133-14777460fca0
Status
challenger

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$1,806,021$1,806,021$0$0$1,433,131

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$5,941,887$0880

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$16MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$134MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$24MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$153MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$662MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$79MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$36,434Digital Ad Buys (Estimate)
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$185MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$8MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$153MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$117MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$22MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$10MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$5MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$91MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$2MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$3MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$19MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$26MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$34,990Digital Ad Buys (Estimate)
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$41,818Digital Ad Buys (Estimate)
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$50,861MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$59,484MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$10MMS Messaging
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupport$19MMS Messaging

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$46,763fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$193fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$22,953fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$33,005fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$6fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$25fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$37,545fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$1,500fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$1,737fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$66fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$115fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$59fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$24fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$47fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$17fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$28,674fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$265,000fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$9,450fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$13,723fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$10,083fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$20,500fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$130fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$225fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$565fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$78fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$75fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$17fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$202fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$221fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$155fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$301fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$600fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$387fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$18,660fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$49,973fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$256,115fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$4,425fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$411fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$27,120fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$34,425fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$23,599fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$15,179fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$20,660fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$14,742fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$52,854fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$217fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$15fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$61fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$5,677fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$85fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$34fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$116fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$17fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$25fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$26fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$86fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$88fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$608fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$20fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$59fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$16fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$111fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$134fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$117fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$24fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$207fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$153fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$481fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$662fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$2,768fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$79fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$20,405fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$89fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$119,172fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$2fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$92fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$3fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$43,279fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$7fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$47fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$12fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$29,290fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$6fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$47fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$14fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$12,342fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$40fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$58,597fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$66fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$2,023fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$10fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$5,172fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$14fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$55fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$20fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$8,740fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$22fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$102fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$31fec_ies
β€”SOS AMERICA PACsupports_independently$15fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofSUAREZ FOR PRESIDENT, INC.β€”candidate_committees

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