pac.dog pac.dog / Candidates

JOHNSON, CRAIG H MR II

I Β· president

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FEC candidate id
P40020083
Internal id
3647e8f6-39c5-4b25-9841-5f2265003fe6
Status
challenger

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 15.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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